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Contributed by:
Scott Boyter
Last Updated: Aug 03, 2010 11:47 AM |
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Tom Brady/New England Patriots
Brady doesn't seem like the kind of guy who's motivated by money. He's motivated by Super Bowls. But nonetheless, his contract has been the subject of quite a bit of off-season talk. Negotiations have been reported as acrimonious at various times this summer, but owner Bob Kraft said Brady's not going anywhere. There is the chance Brady could go into the season with a little bit of a chip on his shoulder, however, and that could only increase his Fantasy Football value.
On the field, Brady should be completely healthy. His personal coach, Tom Martinez, recently confirmed that Brady played with not only three broken ribs, but a broken finger as well for much of 2009. Plus, he was only a year removed from a torn ACL that basically cost him the entire 2008 season. Considering what he had to deal with, his 4,398 yards and 28 touchdowns look that much better.
Now that he should be at 100 percent physically, he could easily surpass those totals. Yes, Wes Welker is a huge question mark going into the season, but he's made astonishing progress from the devastating knee injury he suffered late last season. It's still a coin toss as to whether he'll be back for the start of the regular season, but don't be shocked if he's in action Week 1. Even if Welker remains out, Brady will still have Randy Moss to throw to, and Moss himself is in a contract year. Add to that mix veteran Torry Holt and potential stud Brandon Tate, and Brady is primed to have a huge season. He will likely go in either the late second or early third rounds in most leagues. But if you're willing to roll the dice and wait, Brady could be a massive steal in the fourth. There could be a few owners in your league who feel Brady's had it based on his lousy performance against Baltimore in New England's only playoff game. They could conceivably pass on him. If that's the case, be prepared to pounce and reap the benefits.
Peyton Manning/Indianapolis Colts
Manning's contract status likely won't have an effect one way or another upon his performance this season. He's the consummate pro, and doesn't let outside events blur his focus between the lines. There's really not a lot to say regarding his contract,other than he's going to break the bank when he signs on the bottom line. Granted, the cash the Colts throw Manning's way could negatively impact their ability to re-sign players or explore the free agent market down the road, but for 2010 there should be no concerns.
Manning remains among the safest choices in Fantasy Football, and will likely be taken as either the first or second quarterback in most drafts. There's a chance Aaron Rodgers might slip ahead of Manning in some drafts, but so be it. If you take Manning as the No. 3 quarterback overall, you'll be rewarded with his usual 4,500 yards and 30 or so TDs.
Brett Favre/Minnesota Vikings
It might be a little harsh to characterize Favre as a "Drama Queen," but you can't really blame those who label him as such. His constant off-season waffling is more than tiresome, and this year is obviously no exception. Odds are he'll do what he normally does; waits out as much of training camp as he can before showing up a few days before the season starts. And since he's forgotten more about the game than most quarterbacks will ever learn, it's hard to blame him. Of course, if he waits until mid-August then chooses to retire, he'll be branded a Rick with a P because he'll have left the Vikings in the lurch. So while there's no guarantee he'll play, odds are he'll show up and not leave his team hanging.
While it's true that Favre is technically in a "contract year," it's likely his current one is the last contract he'll ever play under. It's hard to believe that he'd sign even a one-year deal after 2010, since this season will probably be it for him. Some have floated the idea that since his ankle is still bothering him, Favre may tell the Vikings he'll join them a few weeks into the season if they need him. But even that's a stretch.
Assuming he shows up and is playing Week 1, there's no reason to believe Favre can't be an extremely effective No. 1 Fantasy quarterback. He played through nagging injuries last season, when, at the age of 40, he still had 4,202 yards and 33 touchdowns. It's hard to believe that he'd suffer any sort of significant drop-off at the age of 41. The risk of taking Favre, of course, is that he'll get hurt sometime during the season and decide to hang it up immediately. But that would go against his history. Since 1993, Favre has finished what he started; he's never missed a game due to injury. Still, he is 41. So take him in the middle rounds, but you may want to consider picking another QB with your next choice just to be on the safe side.
Matt Hasselbeck/Seattle Seahawks
Hasselbeck is one quarterback who could be motivated heading into a contract year. The Seahawks signed Charlie Whitehurst from San Diego to compete with him for the starting job, so there's some more motivation.
The problem is Hasselbeck no longer has his protector, future Hall of Famer Walter Jones, protecting his blind side. Without Jones in 2009, Hasselbeck's performance slid to mediocrity; he had a 3,000-yards season but only threw 17 touchdowns along with 17 interceptions. Plus he missed two games due to injury, which has been a hallmark of his career. Since becoming a starter in 2001, Hasselbeck has managed to start all 16 games in only three seasons. It's pretty much a given that he'll miss at least a little bit of time.
Hasselbeck has T.J. Houshmandzadeh and rookie Golden Tate to throw to, and tight end John Carlson is an effective receiver. He has a halfway decent supporting cast, but again, he doesn't have Jones. Also, if he falters early in the season, Whitehurst will be lurking to take his spot. Hasselbeck may be worth consideration as a No. 2 Fantasy quarterback and a bye-week replacement, but he's too much of a risk to be anything more.
Trent Edwards/Buffalo Bills
Edwards missed half of 2009 due to a combination of injuries and poor play, and there's no guarantee he'll be able to hold off Ryan Fitzpatrick and Brian Brohm for the No. 1 job in Buffalo. The Bills have a new head coach in Chan Gailey, and he has no particular loyalty to Edwards. Even if he does win the job, Edwards isn't worth a Fantasy draft choice. At best he's worth looking at as a free agent if he starts the season well.
Shaun Hill/Detroit Lions
Hill will probably be the No. 2 QB in Detroit, but he'll only be worth Fantasy consideration if Matthew Stafford gets hurt. Of course, if you pick Stafford you may want to pick Hill with one of your last picks. If Stafford misses time, Hill will have a pretty impressive offense to work with.
Kellen Clemens/New York Jets
Clemens only threw for 125 yards in 2009, and that'll probably be his ceiling once again this season. Much like Hill, though, Clemens will be worth picking up if Mark Sanchez gets hurt, because the Jets have some weapons.
Kerry Collins/Tennessee Titans
Vince Young is the unquestioned leader in Tennessee after taking the team to an 8-2 finish in 2009. Collins should be wearing a ballcap most weeks in 2010, and isn't worth Fantasy consideration.
Bruce Gradkowski-Charlie Frye/Oakland Raiders
Gradkowski will probably be the No. 2 in Oakland after the Raiders signed Jason Campbell, but that's like being the No. 5 QB anywhere else from a Fantasy standpoint. He's not worth Fantasy consideration even if Campbell gets hurt; the Raiders are too bereft of offense. Frye will have to battle Kyle Boller for the No. 3 spot. Don't even bother with him.