Each week I give you the fantasy “Booms and Busts” of the week. The first list will be five players that I expect to perform at least 50% higher than their average week. This could be from a specific match-up, an injury to another player that moves them up the depth chart, or maybe just a gut feeling.

The next list will be five players that I expect to perform at 50% or less of their weekly average. This could also be because of a match-up, a conflict with a coach, or even a weather issue. I don’t think you need help determining whether or not to start someone who is injured, so no questionable, doubtful, or out players will make the list.
 
1. Carson Palmer: Call me crazy, but I think Palmer is starting to get a feel for the Oakland offense and is beginning to remember what it means to be an NFL quarterback. Oakland plays the Vikings in week 11, a team with the third worst pass defense in the league. Bush and possibly McFadden will continue to dominate the run game, giving Palmer some openings in the pass attack. While his average after three weeks is around 14.5ppg with five TDs to eight turnovers, expect Palmer to throw for around 325 yards, three TDs, and have a pair of turnovers (27 pts).

2. Brandon Marshall: Marshall has been having a decent season. He is number three in the league in receptions, but has only found the end-zone twice. He averages just over nine ppg but has a very favorable match-up against Buffalo this week. Expect around 120 yards and a score (18 pts).

3. James Jones: The Packers try and spread the wealth in their offense, but Jones has been hit or miss during the year. Thankfully for his owners, when he does catch the ball he has a good rate of turning that catch into a TD. Jones is averaging 6.6ppg, but this week should be a very good one for him. He has only had two catches in the last two weeks and I think Rodgers will work extra hard to keep him happy this week. Expect around six receptions for 100 yards and a score (16 pts).

4. Marshawn Lynch: The Seattle RB is averaging just over 10ppg this season; he has proven that he can be a workhorse after touching the ball 37 times against the Ravens in a week 10 win. He has a great match-up against the worst rush defense in the league (Rams) and should see around 160 total yards and two scores (28 pts).

5. James Starks: Starks’ lucky number is 13. In his last four games he has carried the ball exactly 13 times each game. Over those four games he has 314 total yards, but no scores. Last week Grant got eight carries for only six yards. Clearly Starks is the better option although he only averages 7.8ppg. Green Bay will hammer the Bucs early in both the pass and ground game. The Bucs are the fourth worst rush defense in the league. Expect Starks to accumulate 120 total yards and get his second score of the year (18 pts).
 
 
1. Andy Dalton: I could make a pretty strong argument for Dalton to be named rookie of the year, but this week won’t be one of his best. He has scored at least 14.8ppg in all but two weeks of the season. Those two weeks were against the strong defenses of the 49ers and Browns. This week Dalton plays the Ravens in Baltimore. He will face the sixth best pass defense in the league and a team that needs the win. Dalton averages 16.6ppg but expect only 150 passing yards, one score, and two turnovers (8 pts).

2. A.J. Green: Dalton won’t be the only one hurting on Sunday. Green has averaged a very strong 11.2ppg this season. I don’t think he will be grabbing Dalton’s only TD pass of the day. Expect only 50 receiving yards and no scores (5 pts).

3. Eric Decker: Mr. Decker, meet Mr. Revis. Get to know each other as Mr. Revis will be spending all day grabbing, pushing, and ripping you apart. Denver might as well run the ball 65 times and pass 0 against the Jets. Revis will shadow Denver’s top target and Decker won’t see anything close to his 10.3ppg average. Expect around 40 yards and no scores (4 pts).

4. Beanie Wells: Wells averages 13ppg this season but plays the top rushing defense in the league this week as the Cardinals battle the 49ers in San Fran. Wells is playing through a knee injury and is poised to start again, but don’t expect much. With Skelton and Fitzgerald looking good last week, Beanie might not even see a dozen touches. I think 50 all-purpose yards will be his limit (5 pts).

5. LeGarrette Blount: Blount is averaging 9.7ppg this year. There were high hopes for Blounte and the Bucs, but he hasn’t quite lived up to those. This week will be one of his worst as he goes up against the Packers and their tough run defense. If not for a botched punt return last week, the Packers may have held AP to only 4.5 fantasy points. Expect similar numbers from Blount who should see around 40 all-purpose yards (4 pts).
 
Think someone deserves to be on either list? Tell me about it in the comments section below.
 

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