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Week 11 Picks & Fantasy Preview

Contributed by: Kyle O'Connor
Last Updated: Nov 19, 2011 1:40 PM

Were 10 weeks through the NFL season, and I know one thing and one thing only for sure... the Packers are good. Other than that, who knows? Its making me crazy trying to figure any of these other teams out, you never know what youre going to get from week to week. Im not complaining though, its making the season even more interesting than it was go

We're 10 weeks through the NFL season, and I know one thing and one thing only for sure... the Packers are good. Other than that, who knows? It's making me crazy trying to figure any of these other teams out, you never know what you're going to get from week to week. I'm not complaining though, it's making the season even more interesting than it was going in, which is always a good thing.

Let's get to the picks, I'm putting my pick in bold with my fantasy preview for the game below. I'm not going to comment on the obvious stars that you will be starting, but rather some of the sneaky plays or guys you may be worried about. 
 
Buffalo Bills (+2.5) @ Miami Dolphins 
Give me the Bills in this, to win actually. Miami isn't exactly great at home, and Buffalo is not as bad as they have been looking. Fitzpatrick will have a nice bounce back game, and Fred Jackson will get back to being Fred Jackson. I don't think Steve Johnson will play, which vaults David Nelson up to a WR2 and Donald Jones a possible flex. As for Miami, Reggie Bush is a nice RB2, Daniel Thomas can be a deep flex and Brandon Marshall is now a WR1.

 
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) 
The Ravens get a big win, take a terrible loss, get a big win...repeat. They're in line for an impressive win this week, especially at home. I expect them to win by double digits. They have to get back to getting Ray Rice the ball, with the ridiculous 50+ passes for Flacco to Rice's five carries, you saw how that worked out for them. Flacco is worth starting in a deep league only, the same for Torrey Smith. Anquan Boldin is a WR2 and Ed Dickson is good for leagues of 12 or more. For the Bengals, Cedric Benson is a RB2, if AJ Green plays he's a borderline WR1 as they'll be throwing the ball a lot, and if he doesn't let's go with Jerome Simpson as a really good WR3 option. 

 Jacks onville Jaguars (-0.5)  @ Cleveland Browns
The Jaguars will win this behind MJD. No doubt, this is going to be a boring game and no one outside of these two fan bases will watch it. Chris Ogbannaya is good enough to start because he'll get a ton of touches, but only as a flex. Greg Little can be trusted as a WR3. Other than that, I wouldn't play anyone in this game outside of MJD. Let's move on. 

Dallas Cowboys (-7.5) @ Washington Redskins
The Cowboys are rolling, and it will continue for awhile, with or without Miles Austin. I expect them to win this by at least two touchdowns, as the Redskins offense is a mess. The only Redskin I would be comfortable playing is Fred Davis, that's it, leave everyone else alone. The Cowboys are an interesting bunch. It was encouraging news for Murray owners that he'll remain the lead back, and he's a RB1. Felix Jones is not playable, at least not yet. I actually cut him this morning. Dez Bryant is a WR1 and Laurent Robinson can be a deep league WR3.

Carolina Panthers @ Detroit Lions (-6.5)
The Lions need to remind people they're really good, and they'll use the Panthers to do it. They win this one easily, and the offense get backs on track. The only thing that makes me nervous is Jahvid Best still being out, it's obviously they really, really miss him. So much is now thrown off without him, not only in the running game but in the short to intermediate passing game, they're still looking to sort it out. Nate Burleson is back to being a WR3, and Maurice Morris is a decent flex start in deeper league. As far as the Panthers, Greg Olsen is a good TE play, and Stewart/Williams get nothing more than flex consideration. 

Tampa Bay Bucs (+14.5) @ Green Bay Packers
The Bucs won't win this, obviously, but they'll keep it close enough to cover. You know who you're starting on both sides here, no surprises. The one thing I will say is that Josh Freeman is a decent play, they'll be throwing a lot and he can get some garbage fantasy points, which, count the same as any of form of fantasy points. 

Oakland Raiders (+1.5) @ Minnesota Vikings
The Raiders are looking better each week, and they'll win this game. With RUN DMC out, Michael Bush is in line for a huge day once again. Jacoby Ford won't play either, so Denarius Moore becomes a solid WR3 and I wouldn't be against playing him in almost any league. Carson Palmer is also worth a play in leagues of 14 teams or more. Vikings...Adrian Peterson. That's it.

Seattle Seahawks (+2.5) @ St Louis Rams
I like the Seahawks to win this game straight up, maybe easily. With Seattle, Marshawn Lynch is a nice start, a RB2 that should get double digit fantasy points. That's it for the Seahawks. The Rams? Bradford is a deep, deep league start and Brandon Lloyd is a WR2, he'll only improve. 

Arizona Cardinals (+9.5) @ San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers usually don't blow people out, with the exception of the Detroit game, and I expect the Cards to keep it around a touchdown. Beanie Wells is nothing more than a flex play this week, I wouldn't expect much. Going with the 9ers, Michael Crabtree is a WR3, and Frank Gore is obviously a start, but watch Kendall Hunter, he could be a nice flex play.
 
Tennessee Titans @ Atlanta Falcons (-6.5)
I really believe the Falcons win this by at least a touchdown, especially at home, especially coming off that loss. Michael Turner will pound the ball, and even without Julio Jones, Matt Ryan will be able to keep them honest enough. The only non-obvious player I would start this week is Harry Douglas, and only if Julio Jones is out. If so, I would expect 5-6 catches for Douglas. 

San Diego Chargers (+3.5) @ Chicago Bears
The Chargers are due for a big game, but Chicago isn't exactly the best place for that to happen. I still think they can keep this within a field goal. Ryan Mathews is a RB2, Tolbert a deep flex, Vincent Jackson a WR1, Vincent Brown a deep league WR3 and Antonio Gates a top five TE. For the Bears, Earl Bennett can now be trusted as a WR3, he sees a ton of targets and gets big catches. 

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) @ New York Giants
They will finally be playing with desperation, they'll have to win out to even get into the playoff picture. Is it too late? Not exactly, but I'd be plenty surprised if they make the playoffs. Remember, the Bears will be right there as well and Chicago owns the tiebreaker. They'll win this one, with or without Vick. Maclin probably won't play in this one, making Steve Smith an interesting fantasy option. Last week, he received 10 targets, bringing in half of them. Ahmad Bradshaw won't play again, making Brandon Jacobs a good RB2 start, and all three of their recevers are worth starting. Jake Ballard is also a decent TE play.

Kansas City Chiefs (+14.5) @ New England Patriots
The Chiefs will give about all they have in this one, and they are familiar with the Patriots, obviously. They won't win this game by any stretch of the imagination, but I think they keep it in the 10-13 range. Deion Branch should continue to get close to double digit targets, and I think Aaron Hernandez will have a bigger game than Gronk. Ocho still isn't worth picking up, but he's getting there. With Kansas City, start Dwayne Bowe as a WR3, but that's about it. In a deep, PPR league, you could get away with McCluster in the flex spot. 

I'm writing this on a Wednesday, this will run on Friday. My pick for tomorrow night's game is Jets (-4.5)

Good luck to everyone this weekend, let's enjoy another great week of football.

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