Pickups of the Week-
Roy Helu, RB, Redskins (33.0 percent)
Week 12 stats: 23 carries, 108 yards, 1 TD, 7 rec, 54 yards
Roy Helu is the "for sure" starting running back according to Mike Shanahan. That's like one of those Tim Allen jokes, right? It's so funny I forgot to laugh. Never in the history of ever has the term "for sure" meant less. The Jets run defense is allowing 2.74 yards per carry over the last 3 games and has allowed zero touchdowns over that same span. That being said the Seahawks are one of the toughest teams against the run and Helu dropped 108 yards on them. Play him at your peril.
Maurice Morris, RB, Lions (38.2 percent owned in ESPN Standard 10-Man Leagues)
Week 12 stats: 7 carries, 39 yards, 9 rec, 81 yards
Apparently high ankle sprains are the new hammy pull. Smith is very generously listed as questionable for the Saints on December 4th. Keep in mind Adrian Peterson's suffered the most bearable type of ankle sprain (grade 1) and still missed the next game. As for Morris, if the Saints are able to do what they did to the Giants, Stafford will find himself dumping off quite a few passes to him.
Shane Vereen, RB, Patriots (0.2 percent)
Week 12 stats: 7 carries, 18 yards
Purely a desperation play if there is absolutely no one else available, but the Patriots will be up early on Indianapolis next week and Vereen could see extended garbage time action.
Patriots D/ST (57.7 percent)
It doesn't matter how poorly the defense performed against the Eagles because there is no better remedy than a matchup with the Indianapolis defense. 5 of the last 6 defenses they've played have scored at least 10 points in ESPN standard-scoring leagues.
Speaking of Defenses
Think long-term. Think playoffs. Think favorable fantasy-football match-ups. Now is a good time to cut that extra receiver and pick up defenses that will help win playoff match-ups, especially if your current defense is trash. Fantasy owners would be wise to pick up defenses playing Indianapolis, St. Louis, Arizona, Jacksonville or Kansas City in the next few weeks.
Tier 1:Completely Awful
|
Team |
Week 13 |
Week 14 |
Week 15 |
Week 16 |
Week 17 |
|
Indianapolis |
New England |
Baltimore |
Tennessee |
Houston |
Jacksonville |
|
St. Louis |
San Francisco |
Seattle |
Cincinnati |
Pittsburgh |
San Francisco |
The second-worst thing about not having cable growing up besides having to watch Bob Ross is the
Home Improvement re-runs. That being said watching the St. Louis and Indianapolis offenses take the field is almost worse. These two offenses give up the most fantasy points to opposing defenses by a significant margin.
Tier 2: Still Awful, Just Not Unbearable
|
Arizona |
Dallas |
San Francisco |
Cleveland |
Cincinnati |
Seattle |
|
Kansas City |
Chicago |
New York Jets |
Green Bay |
Oakland |
Denver |
|
Jacksonville |
San Diego |
Tampa Bay |
Atlanta |
Tennessee |
Indianapolis |
*Teams
Bolded are owned in <60% of leagues.
Arizona-John Skelton/Kevin Kolb take your pick, you win either way.
Kansas City- Tyler Palko looks like that guy who picked on other kids in 5th grade and now is mad as hell that he has become the biggest joke in the NFL.
Jacksonville- I'd rather watch Bob Ross paint on PBS than watch a Blaine Gabbert highlight tape.
Many leagues have their playoffs in weeks 15 and 16 and the Tennessee D/ST (13.8 percent) just happen to play both Indianapolis and Jacksonville in those two weeks.
How Are They Still Available?
C.J. Spiller, RB, Bills (74.8 percent)
Week 12 stats: 19 carries, 55 yards, 3 rec, 15 yards
Was a late-week pickup last week but still valuable enough to worth mentioning now in case he's still available in your league. Spiller ran much better than his stat-line would indicate and his next matchup against the Titans is a very favorable one.
Riley Cooper, WR, Eagles (0.4 percent)
Week 11 stats: 5 rec, 75 yards, 1 TD, 12 Targets
Week 12 stats: 3 rec, 71 yards, 5 Targets
As long as Vince Young is the quarterback and Jeremy Maclin is out, Cooper has #3WR/flex potential.
Matt Moore, QB, Dolphins (3.7 percent)
Week 11 stats: 14-20, 160 yards, 3 TDs
Week 12 stats: 19-32, 288 yards, 1 TD
Seven touchdowns and only one interception the last four games. You could do worse.
Rex Grossman, QB, Redskins (8.5 percent)
Week 11 stats: 25-38, 289 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 1 Rushing TD
Week 12 stats: 26-38, 314 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs
For as risky as Washington Redskin running backs are, Grossman is even riskier. There's always that 10% chance he goes for negative points. Against a top-5 New York Jets pass defense that chance rises to about 30%, do you really want to risk it?
Toby Gerhart, RB, Vikings (21.4 percent)
Week 11 stats: 7 carries, 18 yards, 1 rec, 7 yards
Week 12 stats: 17 carries, 44 yards, 1 TD, 2 rec, 19 yards
His fantasy day was saved by a fluky 3rd quarter, 1-yard touchdown run. Don't expect much from Gerhart against a surprisingly tough Denver run defense.
Vince Young, QB, Eagles (6.3 percent)
Week 11 stats: 23-36, 258 yards, 2 TDs, 3 WRs
Week 12 stats: 26-48, 400 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 6 carries, 40 yards
Still the Eagles QB which means he is a good bet for a couple touchdowns every week.
Antonio Brown, WR, Steelers (56.2 percent)
Week 9 stats: 5 rec, 109 yards, 11 Targets
Week 10 stats: 5 rec, 86 yards, 6 Targets
Week 12 stats: 4 rec, 81 yards, 6 Targets
5 straight weeks of at least 80 receiving yards or a touchdown.
Mark Sanchez, QB, Jets (83.5 percent)
Week 10 stats: 20-39, 306 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs
Week 11 stats: 24-40, 252 yards, 0 TDs, 1 INT
Week 12 stats: 17-35, 180 yards, 4 TDs, 1 INT
According to his Wikipedia page, Tim Allen was born Timothy Alan Dick. That's not even a joke, that's just a Wikipedia fact. Here's another fact: Shonn Greene doesn't run well, especially near the goal-line which is why Sanchez can rack up 4 touchdowns and throw for only 180 yards in the same game.
Tim Tebow, QB, Broncos (84.3 percent)
Week 10 stats: 2-8, 69 yards, 1 TD, 9 carries, 43 yards, 1 TD
Week 11 stats: 9-20, 104 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs, 8 carries, 68 yards, 1 rushing TD
Week 12 stats: 9-18, 143 yards, 1 TD, 22 carries, 67 yards
Now he's getting starting running back carries? Is there anything he can't do? (Insert throw football joke here)
Harry Douglas, WR, Falcons (1.4 percent)
Week 10 stats: 8 rec, 133 yards, 14 Targets
Week 11 stats: 4 rec, 51 yards, 4 Targets
Week 12 stats: 2 rec, 45 yards, 5 Targets, 1 TD
Capitalized on an easier matchup last week. Julio Jones is back, but Douglas is still a useful flex play.
Eric Decker, WR, Broncos (81.9 percent)
Week 10 stats: 1 rec, 56 yards, 3 Targets, 1 TD
Week 11 stats: 0 rec, 0 yards, 5 Targets (Revis)
Week 12 stats: 3 rec, 65 yards, 6 Targets, 1 TD
Out of the six games Tebow has started, he has thrown a touchdown to Decker in four of them. Believe it or not, Tebow has always been friendly to his #1 WR. Brandon Lloyd caught either a touchdown or had at least 100 yards in the three games Tebow started in the 2010 season. Coming up for Decker next week is a banged up Vikings secondary.
Laurent Robinson, WR, Cowboys (56.2 percent)
Week 10 stats: 3 rec, 72 yards, 3 Targets, 2 TDs
Week 11 stats: 4 rec, 34 yards, 11 Targets, 1 TD
Week 12 stats: 7 rec, 79 yards, 12 Targets, 2 TDs
Robinson's 12 targets were 6 more than #1 wide receiver Dez Bryant. He is officially a high #2 WR.
Carson Palmer, QB, Raiders (60.5 percent)
Week 10 stats: 14-20, 299 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT
Week 11 stats: 17-23, 164 yards, 1 TD
Week 12 stats: 21-37, 301 yards, 1 INT
If Jacoby Ford or Denarius Moore can play, Palmer is a much better option against the Dolphins who are the 9th most forgiving defense to opposing quarterbacks. His next matchup against Green Bay (30th against QBs) is favorable as well.
Ben Tate, RB, Texans (84.2 percent)
Week 9 stats: 12 carries, 115 yards, 1 TD
Week 10 stats: 13 carries, 62 yards, 1 TD
Week 12 stats: 5 carries, 26 yards
Disregard carries, acquire favorable fantasy football match-ups. Just hold onto him for the week 15 and week 16 match-ups against Carolina and Indianapolis. Great flex play there.
You're Dead to Me, Kinda
(Players who you might not necessarily want to drop, but should if there are more worthy waiver wire prospects available. Some of these guys are good players, but that should not stop you from dropping them for guys with more upside, especially if all they do is ride your bench. Either drop them or trade them, but your bench should be full of high upside players. For example, I'm not saying you should drop Jermichael Finley, but if a player like Kevin Smith is available and your team could use a running back, then the right decision would be to drop Finley assuming you can't trade him first.)
New to the list: Jahvid Best, Nate Washington, Sidney Rice, Daniel Thomas, Fred Jackson
In no particular order: Fred Davis, Greg Olsen, Shonn Greene, Jay Cutler, Miles Austin (If you cant trade him first), Felix Jones, Matt Schaub, Mike Tolbert, Owen Daniels, Pierre Thomas, Mark Ingram, Peyton Hillis, Joe Flacco, Brandon Pettigrew, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Pierre Garcon, James Starks, Knowshon Moreno, Deion Branch, Ryan Torain, Dallas Clark, LaDainian Tomlinson, Dustin Keller, Santana Moss, Jermichael Finley, Reggie Wayne, Ryan Grant, Joseph Addai, Robert Meachem, Lance Moore, Matt Hasselbeck, Marcedes Lewis, Johnny Knox, Roy Williams, Kevin Kolb, Chad Ochocinco, Malcom Floyd, Thomas Jones, Dexter McCluster, Danny Woodhead, Donald Driver, Matt Cassel, Austin Collie, Kellen Winslow, Lee Evans, Donovan McNabb, Sam Bradford, Hines Ward (forever and always), Ricky Williams, Zach Miller, Cadillac Williams, Jerome Harrison, and Devin Hester.
Off the list is Percy Harvin and DeAngelo Williams (has a great matchup against Tampa Bay coming up), Mike Williams (although expect Chris Gamble to shut him down).
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