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Contributed by:
Nick Stahr
Last Updated: Jul 29, 2012 2:16 PM |
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A new NFL season is almost here and that means fantasy football is gearing up again.
Let the Andrew Luck era begin in Indy. Luck has the prototypical size at 6-4, 234 pounds, he has the arm, and the football IQ that is needed to be a great passer in this league. Last year proved rookie quarterbacks are viable day-one starters as Cam Newton (4,051 passing yards, 21 TD/17 INT) and Andy Dalton (3,398 passing yards, 20 TD/13 INT) both put up huge rookie stats and joined an elite club of QBs that have thrown for 3,000 or more yards and 20 touchdowns in their rookie seasons.
With the Colts in full-on rebuild mode, they'll be behind in most of their games and will be throwing the ball a lot, so that will help inflate Luck's stats this year. Barring major injury, Luck will be a top 5 QB in this league...just not this year.
Verdict: He will make a solid No 2 or No 3 QB on your bench and would be a good bye-week replacement. Draft him in the middle-to-late rounds.
Donald Brown is a good-but-not-great running back. He rushed for over 100 yards once last year (161 yards against Tennessee, and that was thanks in large part to a breakaway 80-yard touchdown run). He will have a few of those "oh wow" fantasy moments, he did have four 20+ rushes, like the 80-yard touchdown run. With a 2011 stat line of 645 yards, 4.8 YPC, 5 TDs, that may improve a little bit, but with second-year back Delone Carter and rookie Vick Ballard vulturing carries, especially around the goal-line, and a rebuilt offensive line, odds are against it.
Mewelde Moore signed as a free agent this offseason, but at 29, he's past his prime, and will be fighting with Ballard for the third spot on the depth chart behind Brown and Carter.
Verdict: Don't reach for Brown, he will be available in the late rounds as a No 4 RB. Carter is a possible handcuff, but should be a waiver-wire option. Moore and Ballard will go undrafted in most leagues.
Reggie Wayne is one of two veteran wideout holdovers. This could be an interesting year for Wayne, as his production has definitely slipped over the last few years - even with Manning throwing to him. Now that Dallas Clark, Anthony Gonzalez, Jacob Tamme and Pierre Garcon aren't around to steal targets from Wayne, he should have a comeback year. The Colts will be airing it out on just about every down, so Wayne will be seeing the lions-share of targets.
He should improve on last year's 75 catches, 960 yards, and 4 TDs. Austin Collie also survived being laid-off and could a see a spike in his numbers this year, as he will benefit from a pass-first offense. Donnie Avery signed as a free agent after a lackluster pro career with stints in St. Louis and Tennessee. Don't expect much from him this year.
The views and content in this article are not necessarily the opinion of Fantasy Football Champs, www.FFChamps.com, and its in-house experts.