Last Updated: Nov 08, 2012 12:37 PM
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis: The Colts come off a big win last week at home against the Miami Dolphins as Andrew Luck outdueled fellow rookie Ryan Tannehill in a battle of two teams and QBs that have exceeded expectations in 2012. The Colts sit at 5-3 and are now looking at avenging their early season loss to the division rival Jaguars, which they are now in a much better position to do.
The Jaguars rank just 25th in the league against the pass, allowing 256 yards per game; Luck on the other hand ranks 3rd in the league in passing, rolling up 301 yards per game. Put those two together and you have what amounts to a great chance of Luck producing a very good game for fantasy owners.
And of course, if Luck is having a stellar game, you can bet that Reggie Wayne will be busy early and often. Wayne ranks 1st in the league in receiving yards per game, and there’s no reason to think that he won’t get his 3rd 100 yard receiving day of the season.
Donnie Avery looks iffy for this game, so look for extra work for T.Y. Hilton; if you own him, feel free to get him in your lineup as a strong WR3/Flex play this week. Also, Coby Fleener continues to be out with an injury, so Dwayne Allen looks like he could have a sneaky good play if you need him.
As bad as the Jaguars are against the pass, they’re even worse against the rush, ranking a paltry 28th in that category. With Donald Brown hobbled, look for Vick Ballard to take advantage of the weak rush defense, especially if the Colts are able to get up early in the game. Ballard has the upside to be a good RB2 for the week.
Good Start: QB Andrew Luck, RB Vick Ballard, WR Reggie Wayne
Middle of the Road: WR T.Y. Hilton, TE Dwayne Allen
Bad Start: RB Delone Carter, WR Donnie Avery
Jaguars: The Jaguars come off yet another loss, this time getting throttled in Week 9 by the Detroit Lions. The Jags now stand at 1-7, including an embarrassing 0-4 at home. They do have a glimmer of hope in this game, since that one win did come against the Colts; however, don’t get too optimistic. That win came early in the year when Andrew Luck still didn’t quite have his feet under him, plus it happened on a day when Maurice Jones-Drew carried the offense to the tune of over 170 yards and a score. Unfortunately for the Jags, Luck is looking much more like a stud QB, and MJD is MIA, out with a foot injury that the Jaguars still won’t admit is serious.
Not to say the Jaguars can’t put up some fireworks in this game; in fact, the Colts rank just 25th in the league against the run, and Rashad Jennings has proven in the past to be a capable runner. The question is, can Blaine Gabbert threaten the defense enough through the air to make them back off the line of scrimmage? While Jennings has talent, he’s no MJD, so he’s not going to beat many 8-men-in-the-box situations.
Still, if Jennings is going to be able to do anything with this opportunity, it’ll be this week against a vulnerable defense on a short week going on the road after a hard-fought win against a physical Dolphins team.
Even though Gabbert had a decent game last week, throwing for over 220 yards and a couple of scores, that came in garbage time against a Lions defense that was ahead by enough that they no longer cared. The Colts likely won’t be in that position, so no easy garbage time this week. Cecil Shorts may have some value, but Laurent Robinson returned last week to eat into his looks. Shorts is a marginal play at best this week.
Good Start: RB Rashad Jennings
Middle of the Road: WR Cecil Shorts
Bad Start: QB Blaine Gabbert, WR Justin Blackmon, WR Laurent Robinson, TE Marcedes Lewis
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